With Kamala Harris the potential nominee, here are the calculations.
Harris vs. Trump: Harris will be linked with Biden policies, which won’t have enough “fresh start” effect.
If Harris wins in 2024, she will be nominated in 2028, which means other Democratic candidates will wait until 2032.
Meanwhile, if Trump momentum is unstoppable, should Democratic supporters “save” some energy and wait for 2028?
Even Trump wins, he will only do one term, so in 2028 Republican also needs a new face.
Trump is still very ahead according to betting.
