Category: Uncategorized

「What’s News In China」

Sales in China dropped 20.5% for January and February due to COVID-19 and the lockdown. Restaurant sales dropped 43.1%. // Xinhua

Tencent (HKG: 0700) reported its 2019 financial results, growing the top-line at 21% and adjusted EBITDA at 30%. Its fintech services revenue has surpassed ¥100 billion in 2019. There are over 50 million monthly active merchants in 2019Q4 and LiCaiTong 理财通, increased its aggregate customer assets over 50% year-on-year, while its number of customers more than doubled year-on-year. // Press Release | Annual Report

Lilium raised $240M in a recent financing round led by Tencent, with participation from other previous backers that included Atomico, Freigeist and LGT. Lilium, a Munich-based startup that is designing and building vertical take-off and landing (VTOL) aircraft with speeds of up to 100 km/h, eventually plans to run in its own taxi fleet. // TechCrunch | Press Release

Lilium Jet side view
Source: Lilium

 

「News of the Week」Stock Market Worst Week Following Fed’s Zero Interest Rate Move

The worst week for Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 since 2008 financial crisis (Oct 2008).

Fed cut rates to near-zero the weekend before, lowering federal-funds rate to a range between 0% and 0.25%.

Dots to connect: QE, easing from central banks around the world, inflation on the way, bond issuing in low-interest-rate environment, another round of asset bubble(?) when recover, etc.

「What’s News in China」

SoftBank invested $1 billion in Beike 贝壳, together with Hillhouse, Tencent, Sequoia China, in a round of $2.4 billion. The round, closed in November last year, valued Beike at ~$14 billion. Beike is a real-estate brokerage with an online tool to match buyers and sellers, as sites like Zillow and Redfin do in the U.S. It also offers real-estate financing, home décor and property management. SoftBanks has also invested in another $1 billion in Ziroom for the long-term apartment rental market. // WSJ | Sina

TikTok’s owner, ByteDance is launching Resso in India, which describes itself as a “social music streaming app”: users are encouraged to share lyrics, comments and other user-generated content with each other, alongside full-length tracks of music that they can consume and also share with others. It has secured licensing deals with Sony Music Entertainment, Warner Music Group as well as big publishers specifically in the Indian market. Resso’s pricing in India is in line with those of Apple Music, YouTube Music, Spotify, Times Internet-owned Gaana, and Reliance Jio’s JioSaavn. // TechCrunch

Bestore 良品铺子, a consumer brand in China with over 2,300 snack bars and online presence on Taobao and JD.com, etc., went public on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) with an online listing ceremony last Monday. The company livestreamed the 13-minute ceremony. Close to 50% of the company’s revenue comes from Hubei Province, the center of the epidemic. The stock has more than tripled, trading at ¥36.74 per share as of March 5 versus IPO price of ¥11.9. // kr-asia

Tesla delivered cars to customers in China with lower-performance Autopilot hardware than promised, because of supply chain issues caused by the coronavirus outbreak. According to the BBC, the new chip is up to 21 times faster at processing images than its predecessor. Tesla quickly apologized on Weibo 微博 for the decision and said it will offer free upgrades to affected Model 3 owners once supplies become available. // engadget | BBC

 

 

「News of the Week」Court Rules: Privately Operated Internet Platforms Free To Censor Content They Don’t Like.

WSJ – Tech Platforms Aren’t Bound by First Amendment, Appeals Court Rules

Despite YouTube’s ubiquity and its role as a public-facing platform, it remains a private forum, not a public forum subject to judicial scrutiny under the First Amendment

– Circuit Judge M. Margaret McKeown

Dots to connect: internet platforms’ products that operate like government, possible platforms with political views,  regulation vs. indirect influence on tech firms, etc.

「What’s News in China」

China’s EV maker NIO (NYSE: NIO) 蔚来汽车 signed framework agreements with Hefei’s city government on a fundraising of more than 10 billion yuan ($1.42 billion) and new manufacturing facilities. NIO plans to establish NIO China headquarters, further expand its operations and deepen its relationship with local ecosystem partners in Hefei. NIO’s stock surged more than 30% on Tuesday morning. // NIO | Reuters

Naixue’s Tea, one of the biggest bubble tea chains in China, has filed IPO in the US to raise as much as $400 million. Naixue has over 230 stores in China. The fast growing coffee chain Luckin Coffee (NASDAQ: LK) with over 4,500 locations is valued at around $10bn. Naixue was valued at over ¥6bn in its March 2018 financing round. // Bloomberg | STCN

PepsiCo Inc (NASDAQ: PEP) has agreed to buy Chinese snack brand Be & Cheery (百草味) for $705 million from local jujube maker Haoxiangni (SHE: 002582). Be& Cheery sells snacks from nuts to dried fruits mainly on Chinese e-commerce platforms. // Reuters | Pepsico

Hillhouse Capital 高瓴资本 just launched its independent venture capital fund of ¥10bn. The new fund, called GL Ventures, will invest in both U.S. dollars and yuan in chunks ranging from 3 million yuan to $30 million. GL Ventures will focus on four areas: biomedicine and medical devices, software services and initiatives in tech innovations, consumer internet and technology, and emerging consumer brands and services. // 36Kr | Caixin

On Feb 24, ByteDance’s Feishu (飞书) announces free access to all organizations. Feishu is a Slack-like remote collaboration platform developed by ByteDance, with features including video conferencing, online shared doc, group chats, calendar & other team management tools, etc. // Feishu | cntechpost

What We Can Learn From GrubHub’s Earnings

As a pure-play food delivery public company, GrubHub has a lot to provide for investors interested in this field.

When it went IPO in April 2014, GrubHub had an average of 135,000 orders daily in 2013.

In 2019Q4, that number has grown to 502,600 (almost 4x). But the year-over-year growth rate has dropped to single digit.

One slowly growing number is the gross dollar value per order, which was $30.74 in 2017Q1 and $33.56 in 2019Q4.

The per order value could implies that group buying (>1; friends gathering, small corporates/teams, etc.) is probably a major purchasing behavior on GrubHub. It’s also a natural choice when people can “split” the overhead (all sorts of fees).

The average order value increases by ~10% in two years and could continue to grow if more business users order food deliveries.

Of the GMV, GrubHub only takes commission, delivery and others as fees (revenues). That “take-rate” has increased from 17.4% in 2017Q1 to 22% in 2019Q4.

The increase could be due to the increased marketing spending by restaurants. See a brochure for Grubhub pricing. But eventually, the take-rate will be reflected in foods’ prices and split with consumers.

That increase is good for the company but consumers may feel that food delivery has become more expansive while what they are buying is not better.

Cross major marketplace platforms, due to the delivery part of business, those food delivery companies might take a bigger % of the GMV as revenues.

The most concerning part of the costs is called “Operations and Support”, which grew from 38%  in 2017Q1 to 56% in 2019Q4.

A large part of that increase is due to the shift from independent contractors to GrubHub employees – on which regulators and other gig economy companies spent a lot of efforts.

Food delivery is still a very competitive space and market share needs to be won city by city. Compared with ride-hailing, which two big players remain in the US, we might see a few more players competing without major consolidation in the near term.