If Uber is doing self-driving

Uber Mobility had ~$70bn gross booking in 2023, and recorded $20bn revenue.

Drivers should earn ~70%, or $49bn, as Uber Mobility’s revenue margin is ~29%.

Based on drivers’ feedbacks, it seems that net earnings after expenses are roughly 2/3.

Then what self-driving can replace is 2/3 of that $49bn, or $32bn per year.

This doesn’t include UberEats (Delivery).

Uber had about $3.6bn operating cash flow in 2023; it made ~$2bn adj. EBITDA after SBC.

That $32bn net “savings” can lift Uber’s profitability by 10-fold.


What’s missing?

The additional insurance needed for self-driving as software can make mistakes?

The job losses around the world?


If can solve self-driving at night, it would be great! We human beings need to sleep.


Click to access uber-investor-update.pdf