How did post-08 housing price perform in Manhattan?

How did average price change?

Average price per sqft for 2 bedrooms dropped ~17% in 2009 and ~4% in 2010.

Overall average price per sqft looks slightly down / rather flattish in 2010 across all types.

Difference across areas is huge – certain areas can continue to drop over 10% in 2010.

Source: https://www.millersamuel.com/files/2011/10/MMR10.pdf


How was median income level?

Median household income level in New York County (Manhattan) in 2010 was $63,188, dropping 7.5%.

Median household income level in New York State in 2010 was $49,780, slightly dropping.

A 118 sqm 2-bedroom home (or 1,270 sqft), with average price per sqft of $1,097, is equivalent to 22x a median Manhattan family’s annual income in 2010, or 28x a median NY state family’s annual income in 2010.

Monthly median income from a Manhattan household can buy 4.8 sqft, or 0.446 sqm, at average 2-bedroom price.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MHINY36061A052NCEN

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEHOINUSNYA646N


Another source for median household income is here, from nyc.gov: https://www.nyc.gov/assets/planning/download/pdf/data-maps/nyc-population/acs/house_income_nyc_boro_06_10.pdf

How much money did electric vehicles companies burn (China Trio: Nio, Li, Xpev)

Employee counts at the end of 2020, 2021, 2022:

Nio total 7,763 15,204 26,763
Xpev total 5,084 13,978 15,829
Li total 4,181 11,901 19,396

Their R&D expenses combined is likely to be similar as Tesla’s R&D expenses in 2023, or ~$4bn.


CapEx (rmb, mn) in 1H 2022, 2H 2022, 1H 2023:

Nio -3,463 -3,510 -5,039
XPEV -2,383 -2,297 -1,429
Li -2,010 -3,118 -2,569

Despite a macro downturn, Nio is spending more in capex.

Nio’s capex is now 26% of its revenue in 23H1; XPEV capex has come down a bit to 16% of revenue; Li Auto had the best ratio at 5.4% of revenue in 23H1.

The trio has spent 18bn rmb in capex from H2 2022 to H1 2023, or ~$2.5bn in usd.

To compare, Tesla has spent $7.8bn in capex during the same period; Rivian spent $1.1bn and Lucid spent $1bn.

While Tesla and Li Auto’s gross profits are higher than their capex number, the other 4 companies were burning their own cash.


Middle-east (CYVN, Abu Dhabi based) is backing Nio in 2023, providing ~$3bn net new funding to Nio.

EU (Volkswagen) is backing Xpev in 2023, providing ~$700mn financing to Xpev.

 

 

China mutual fund size over time

Based on official data. Mutual funds can be several types: equity, debt, money market, QDII (foreign), mixed etc.

Therefore, “equity + mixed” types should represent the domestic rmb equity market mutual fund sizes.

The mutual fund size peaked in 2021 and kept dipping in 2023.

 

Tesla Bought $1.5 Billion Bitcoin

On Monday, Feb 8, Tesla announced it bough $1.5 billion bitcoin and would accept it as a payment method soon.

A few takeaways:

1/ There will be more companies using bitcoin to manage their cash, adding to the demand for it.

2/ Bitcoin as a payment method will be more mainstream. Now people not only can rely on selling it to the market, but maybe can buy a Model Y. The future question would be – what will the “economy” look like on Mars? I bet Bitcoin will be important.

Questions remain –

How Tesla is gonna price its cars? in fixed Bitcoin? that will cause a collision with USD, etc. as Bitcoin is volatile on a daily basis.

「What’s News In China」

HK’s Hang Seng Index will incorporate Chinese internet giants Alibaba, Xiaomi and Meituan Dianping – companies with dual-class or equivalent structures, starting from August, with a weighting cap of 5%. The tech trio are also eligible to join the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index. The Hang Seng is tracked by $20 billion of exchange-listed products globally and $8 billion of local retirement plans, the index provider said in a consultation paper in January. // FT | Hang Seng Indexes


On May 18, HeyTea 喜茶 announced the roll-out of its first artificial meat product, partnering with Starfield 星期零. The 未来肉芝士堡 is priced at ¥25. // 36kr | WeChat

Before HeyTea, its competitor Naixue’s Tea also partnered with Starfield on artificial meat burger last November. Last month, Starbucks and KFC in China launched their artificial / plant-based meat products. // Sina | 36kr


ByteDance is marching into automobile sector with plans to integrate Douyin and Toutiao into cars. The research and development (R&D) team for the Internet of Vehicles (IoV) team are former employees of smartphone maker Smartisan 锤子手机, who joined the company after ByteDance acquired Smartisan (team & patents) in early 2019. // 36kr | kr-asia


Chinese black-box doll retailer Pop Mart 泡泡玛特 has raised more than $100 million in funding from China Renaissance and Loyal Valley Capital in what is expected to be its last round before an IPO. // avcj | 36kr

「What’s News In China」

On April 17, China 2020 Q1 GDP data is released. China’s economy shrank 6.8% in the first three months of 2020 compared with a year earlier, the first such contraction since Beijing began reporting quarterly gross domestic product in 1992. // WSJ


On April 15, China cut the benchmark interest rate for the second time this year, lowering the medium-term lending facility (MLF) for financial institutions to 2.95%. The one-year loan prime rate (LPR), based on banks quotations, was lowered by 20 basis points (bps) from 4.05% to 3.85%. // Reuters | PBOC


China’s central bank has introduced a homegrown digital currency across four cities as part of a pilot program. Internal tests of the digital currency are being conducted in four large cities around China—Shenzhen, Suzhou, Chengdu and Xiong’an, a satellite city of Beijing. // WSJ


As China is reopening its economy, getting consumers to spend is one of the key initiatives. Many cities collaborate with Alipay to give residents discount coupons for various needs. Wuhan, which reopened on April 8, on April 17 announced that it is going to offer coupons worth of 2.3 billion RMB for restaurant, shopping malls, grocery stores and other cultural/sports spendings. // cnbeta

「News of the Week」 Dow Jones Best Two-week Performance Since 1930s

WSJ – Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 2.2% this week, extending its rally over the past two weeks to 15%—its best performance since 1938

Things that pushed the market upward:

STAT – Early peek at data on Gilead coronavirus drug suggests patients are responding to treatment

White House – Reopening guideline

Texas Tribune – Texas to restart the economy, loosens some restrictions

「What’s News In China」

On April 7, TAL Education 好未来 (NASDAQ: TAL) announced it discovered “certain employee wrongdoing” in its “routine internal auditing process.” TAL says the employee of question could wrongly inflate “Light Class” 轻课 sales by forging contracts and other documentations. For the fiscal year 2020 ended February 29, 2020, “Light Class” sales accounted for approximately 3% to 4% of the Company’s total estimated revenues.  // Press Release | 36kr


Last week, Guangdong Restaurant Association published an open letter to Meituan, saying that Meituan delivery has a market share of 60 to 90 per cent in Guangdong province… charges up to 26 per cent commission for newly-opened catering merchants. Meituan (HKG: 3690) on April 10 replies that more than 80 per cent of businesses on its platform pay a commission of between 10 per cent to 20 per cent. And it only earns ¥0.02 per delivery order (profit) in 2019Q4. // Sina | SCMP


China’s three biggest telecoms carriers join forces to introduce 5G-based messaging service 5G消息, introducing 5G-based rich communication services (RCS), competing with existing apps like Tencent’s WeChat. It will also allow organizations and firms to directly provide services to and communicate with users. // technode | White Paper


On April 10, Blackstone Chairman and CEO Schwartzman went on live with audience in China, with Hillhouse’s Lei Zhang and Vanke Liang Yu. Schwartzman brought his new book. The live-streaming is on Bytedance’s Toutiao and Douyin. // Sina | 36kr

Source: 36kr