Which Buffett stock performed well during doc-com bubble?

1/ Washington Post

In 2000, the company spent about $125 million developing Kaplan, online education and Washingtonpost.com.

Kaplan became a success.

Kaplan revenue grew roughly 76% in two years, while it swung from a meaningful loss to profitability. Test preparation benefited as the weak job market sent more people back to graduate school, while Kaplan Higher Education produced record enrollment, revenue and operating income.

 

2/ H&R Block

Core tax business is a recurring, mostly cash-paid service that was largely insensitive to technology spending or stock-market valuations.

H&R Block owned Option One, a large non-prime mortgage originator. As the Federal Reserve cut rates following the dot-com collapse, refinancing activity surged. << an early subprime-housing trade

 

3/ Wells Fargo

Wells Fargo surged in 2000 as money rotated away from expensive technology stocks toward reasonably valued, profitable financial companies. Even after its 20% decline in 2001, an investor entering at the end of 1999 still made roughly 24% through 2002, versus a 38% loss for the S&P 500.

Its underlying banking businesses also remained healthy: Wells Fargo reported growing net interest income and improving earnings in parts of its business during 2002.

[Reading Buffett] 2024

Berkshire paid the most corporate income tax in the US, or about “5% of what all of corporate America paid”.

Buffett complained a bit about US fiscal recklessness and the inability of fixed income securities to protect buying power.

Buffett still prefers equity – but he didn’t say public equity!

“P/C insurance growth is dependent on increased economic risk. No risk – no need for insurance. ”

Berkshire borrowed “fixed” rate in yen! How beautiful the transactions were. But if Japan’s interest rate were to rise significantly in the future (when Berkshire needs to refinance), will Berkshire find those Japanese dividend less attractive?

[Reading Buffett] 2023

Wage increases due to inflation and negotiation reduced BNSF earnings, in a degree more than Buffett expected. Revenues also fell.

Buffett increased holdings in Japan’s “conglomerates” – these companies are diversified, repurchasing their shares, receiving lower wages at C-level, and reluctant to issue shares. Those purchases began in 2019.

There were some problems with BHE – no fixed return as a utility, and with rising climate change induced problems.

Stick with wonderful businesses! “Patience pays, and one wonderful business can offset the many mediocre decisions that are inevitable.”

[Reading Buffett] 2022

Using 2021 figures, there are 128 companies earning $3 billion or more, out of the S&P 500. Including Berkshire insurance, BHE (energy) and BNSF Railway, Berkshire is the largest owner of 11 of those 130 big giants (128 plus BHE and BNSF).

The letter has grown shorter in recent years. From 2010 to 2016, those were over 20 pages. From 2017 to 2021, those were 10+ pages. The 2022 letter is 10 pages.

[Reading Buffett] 2021

When TTI’s founder was considering a sale, Berkshire was preferred over competitors and other financial buyers, as Berkshire won’t cut back-end jobs and won’t be a reseller.

“Teaching, like writing, has helped me develop and clarify my own thoughts.” – totally agree.

 

 

[Reading Buffett] 2020

Berkshire’s structure – “Although our form is corporate, our attitude is partnership.”

There are two different type of individual investors with Berkshire – those own and trade stocks, and those “who simply trust us to represent their interests, whatever the future may bring”.

Berkshire has become the No.1 owner of US PP&E. The runner-up is AT&T.

[Reading Buffett] 2018

One source of funding or leverage Berkshire has is deferred tax liabilities, which is a interest rate free loan. Those rose from unrealized gains and accelerated depreciation.

In the next annual letter, Buffett will not list book value per share any more; instead, the per share market value will be compared vs. S&P 500.

[Reading Buffett] 2017

Redefining risk-free: “risk-free” long-term bonds in 2012 were a far riskier investment than a long-term investment in common stocks, as

investing is an activity in which consumption today is foregone in an attempt to allow greater consumption at a later date. “Risk” is the possibility that this objective won’t be attained.

Another lesson from Buffett – stick with big, “easy” decisions and eschew activity.

[Reading Buffett] 2016

For certain stocks, Buffett has no intention to sell, however, those are still considered “available for sale” stocks.

Buffet’s tax lesson on dividends – “For a non-insurance company – which describes Berkshire Hathaway, the parent – the federal tax rate is
effectively 101⁄2 cents per $1 of dividends received. Furthermore, a non-insurance company that owns more than 20% of an investee owes taxes of only 7 cents per $1 of dividends. That rate applies, for example, to the substantial dividends we receive from our 27% ownership of Kraft Heinz, all of it held by the parent company.”

Buffett compared results of HFs vs. S&P 500 over the past 9 years. On average S&P 500 won.