Buildings On The Bund (Waitan), Shanghai (3)

Block Four

No. 7 – Great Northern Telegraph Building | 大北电报公司大楼

Rebuilt in 1907.

Past: Danish Great Northern Telegraph Company, the earliest commercial telegraph services provider in China

Now: Bangkok Bank, the largest commercial banks in Thailand (since 1995)

In-between: Commercial Bank of China (No.6 on the Bund), 长江航运管理局 (later split into 长江航务管理局 and 长江轮船总公司, more on the reformation)

No. 9 –  China Shipping Merchant Company | 轮船招商局

Built in 1901.

Past: China Shipping Merchant Company (bought in 1891)

Now: China Merchants Group (parent group of companies including China Merchants Bank)

An Excerpt From A Brief History of Humankind

As in previous eras, there is today a division of labor between the elite and the masses. In medieval Europe, aristocrats spent their money carelessly on extravagant luxuries, whereas peasants lived frugally, minding every penny. Today, the tables have turned. The rich take great care managing their assets and investments, while the less well heeled go into debt buying cars and televisions they don’t really need.

Buildings On The Bund (Waitan), Shanghai (2)

Block Two

No. 3 – The Union Building |友宁大楼 | 有利大楼 (formerly no. 4)

Built in 1916.

Past: a group of insurance companies (including Union Insurance Society of Canton,于仁洋面保安行/保安保险公司/友宁保险) -> Mercantile Bank of India, London and China (有利银行,purchased for £80k in 1937)

Now: Three on the Bund. In 2004, House of Three Ltd. under Giti Group established Three on the Bund which opened to public in September same year. Giti Group is controlled by the Nursalim family (Cheri Nursalim is the daughter of Sjamsul Nursalim)

In-between: Japanese control, Shanghai Civil Architecture and Design Institute

Block Three

No. 5 – The Nissin Building | 日清大楼

Built in 1925

Past: Japanese shipping company Nisshin Kisen Kaisha Shipping Co.

Now: high-end restaurants, e.g. Ruth’s Chris Steak House, M on the Bund, etc.

In-between: China Merchants Steam Navigation Company, Shanghai Maritime Bureau, the Bund branch of Huaxia Bank

No. 6 – China Merchants Bank Building | 中国通商银行大楼

Built in 1907

Past: Imperial Bank of China, first Chinese-owned bank modelled on Western banks and banking practices, founded by Mr. Sheng Xuanhuai in 1897; later changed its name into Commercial Bank of China

Now: high-end restaurants, e.g. 东京和食 SUN with AQUA Japanese Dining & Bar, 御锦天, etc.

In-between: Shanghai Changjiang Navigation Company (长江轮船公司)

Buildings On The Bund (Waitan), Shanghai (1)

A roundup of those historically unique buildings.

Block One

No. 1 – The McBain Building, Asia Building | 亚细亚大楼

Built in 1916.

Past: Asiatic Petroleum Company (oil & gas), a joint venture between the Shell and Royal Dutch oil companies founded in 1903 (Royal Dutch and Shell merged into The Royal Dutch Shell Group in April 1907)

Now: Japanese control, East China Petroleum Company, China Pacific Insurance Company (insurance)

No. 2 – The Shanghai Club | 上海总会大楼

Rebuilt in 1909.

Past: The Shanghai Club, the principal men’s club for British residents of Shanghai, founded in 1861. The club was originally named “The Correspondent’s Club”.

Now: leased by the Hilton group in 2009 and converted to become the Waldorf Astoria Shanghai on the Bund, a luxury hotel. The new hotel opened in 2011.

In between: Japanese Navy Base, International Seamen Club, Dongfeng Hotel, from 1990 to 1996 for hosting the first KFC restaurant in Shanghai.

Coffee Chains And Prices In China

While Starbucks is probably the No.1 coffee brand in China, its position has constantly been challenged. Luckin Coffee, (briefly covered in a previous post) is cutting into the mass market with lower pricing.

Many people are eyeing on China’s growing coffee market, which will be huge and many are betting on the growth in average coffee consumption.

On the global capital market, Starbucks’ China push and Blue Bottle’s exciting/interesting movements (Jun 2015 $70 million series C; Sep 2017 acquired by Nestle, $425 million for ~68%) may as well push Chinese counter-parties to think about aggressive expansion or building boutique brands.

Listed here are 3 shops I visited recently. Will add more during the summer.

Costa, from UK

Costa Coffee is eyeing 1,200 stores in China by 2022, a big increase from more than 400 at the end of 2017.

Costa stores | Source: Business Insider

Costa is in direct competition with Starbucks, pricing its coffee at exactly the same level – grande latte @ ¥32.

% arabica, from Japan

% arabica @ the bund, Shanghai | Source: arabica.coffee

Started in 2014 in Kyoto, Japan, % arabica is a young brand. It opened the first store in China in Shanghai in Feb 2018 in a trendy (网红) way. It already has opened 4 store in Shanghai alone, including a roastery at the Bund (7 in mainland China and 4 in Hong Kong as of May 2019).

% arabica is a premium brand with latte price starting @ ¥35 (but in short size), @ ¥45 for a tall size (or a little bigger than tall.. cant’ tell exactly), @ ¥40 for tall ice latte.

S.Engine, from Shanghai

A trendy (网红) brand, 鹰集 is a little pricer than Starbucks, with its flagship store opened in January 2017 at Xintiandi, Shanghai.

While its office website only lists 3 locations right now, its has 6 places listed on Meituan in Shanghai. Growing very fast.

S.Engine on Meituan | Source: meituan.com

Pricing is in line with (or a little lower than) boutique coffee shops. Americano @ ¥28 and latte @ ¥36 (¥38 for ice latte). There is only one size (tall); a fair amount of cups are served in reusable cups.

NIO Feeling Similar Pain As Tesla – Lack of Demand

When Tesla said “Deliveries were approximately 63,000 vehicles, which was 110% more than the same quarter last year, but 31% less than last quarter”, NIO wanted to say something similar.

The 2019 Q1 deliveries number was approximately half of that in 2018 Q4. (Still a good job in ramping up production fast)

To compare in numbers:

    • Tesla deliveries is ~15.8x NIO’s in 2019 Q1, ~11.4x  in 2018 Q4
    • Tesla’s automotive revenue in 2018 Q4 was $6.3 billion vs. NIO $0.5 billion:  ~12.6x
    • Current valuation 8x ($40bn vs. $5bn)

NIO said ES6 (to start deliveries in June) should have more than 10,000 pre-orders before deliveries.

Game of Thrones Whiskys

Game of Thrones Single Malt Scotch Whisky Collection | Source: esquire.com

Back in October 2018, HBO and DIAGEO unveiled 9 GOT co-branded whiskies – the new White Walker by Johnnie Walker Blended Scotch Whisky and The Game of Thrones Single Malt Scotch Whisky Collection (8).

Let’s look into some of those whiskies…

lWhite Walker by Johnnie Walker Blended Scotch Whisky | Source: multivu.com

White Walker by Johnnie Walker SRP: $36 for 750ml; ABV 41.7%

    • Rich seasonal flavors of vanilla, red fruits and orchard fruits
    • Single Malts from Cardhu and Clynelish – one of Scotland’s most Northern distilleries, feature in the product.
Game of Thrones Scotch whiskies: Dalwhinnie Winter’s Frost
House Stark – Dalwhinnie Winter’s Frost | Source: Diageo

Game of Thrones House Stark – Dalwhinnie Winter’s Frost; SRP: $39.99 for 750ml; ABV 43%

Game of Thrones Scotch whiskies: Cardhu Gold Reserve
House Targaryen – Cardhu Gold Reserve | Source: Diageo

Game of Thrones House Targaryen – Cardhu Gold Reserve; SRP: $39.99 for 750ml; ABV 40%

Game of Thrones Scotch whiskies: Lagavulin 9 Year
House Lannister – Lagavulin 9 Year Old | Source: Diageo

Game of Thrones House Lannister – Lagavulin 9 Year Old; SRP: $64.99 for 750ml; ABV 46%

    • The distillery of Lagavulin officially dates from 1816, when John Johnston and Archibald Campbell constructed two distilleries on the site. One of them became Lagavulin, taking over the other—which one is not exactly known. Records show illicit distillation in at least ten illegal distilleries on the site as far back as 1742 [Wikipedia]

No Foreign Property Ownership Allowed In Indonesia

Just went to Indonesia last week and realized that protective rules are more general than I previously had thought.

So the origin – Indonesian Agrarian Law, Law No. 5 of 1960, governs the property ownership in Indonesia in regards to lands.

Article 21.

(4) As long as person possesses a foreign nationality in addition to his Indonesian nationality he/she may not possess any land with ownership right…

Land ownership is called Hak Milik (Right of Ownership) (“HM”), the most complete land title available under Indonesian law. Only Indonesian citizens are allowed to hold HM

Also stated in this law, foreigners are permitted to purchase land or homes under the “Hak Pakai” or “Right to Use” title.

Article 41.

(1) The right of use is the right to use and/or to collect the product, from land directly controlled by the State, or land owned by other persons which gives the rights and obligations stipulated in the decision upon grating this right by the authorized official, or in the agreement to work the land, as far as it not conflict with the spirit and the provision of this law.

Article 42.

Those who may obtain the right of use are:
a. Indonesian citizen;
b. Foreigner residing in Indonesia;
c. Corporation which have been established according to Indonesian Law and having they seat in Indonesia;
d. Foreign corporations having a representation in Indonesia.

There is also the “right to lease”

Those who may become holders of the right to lease are:
a. Indonesian citizens;
b. Foreigner residing in Indonesia;
c. Corporation which has been established according to Indonesia law and having their seats in Indonesia;
d. Foreign corporation having a representative in Indonesia;

In practise, there are usually 3 ways:

1. Hak Pakai (right to use),

for a period up to 80 years (an initial period of 30 years and can be extended twice by 20 years and a further 30 years).

The Indonesian banks will NOT lend money to property owners that only have Hak Pakai status for their property.

2. PT PMA (Perseroan Terbatas Penanaman Modal Asing)

In short, PT PMA = foreign limited liability company

PMA is a legal entity through which a foreign person, foreign company, or foreign government body can obtain the property ownership in Indonesia (meaning generating revenue streams and profit). The establishment of a PT PMA is regulated by Law No. 40/2007 regarding Limited Liability Companies.

PMA can acquire “Hak Guna Bangunana” (“HGB” )  titles, which is the “right to build”

HGB can later easily be converted back to Hak Milik, for example, if the property is sold to an Indonesian or if the foreign investor decides to use the Nominee method.

HGB has a maximum initial period of 30 years and can be extended for a maximum period of 20 years.

HBG can be mortgaged for credit applications to financial institutions.

3. Nominee method

Essentially, it is purchasing a property with its title in the name of an Indonesian citizen. Not allowed.

 

Books, Digital Books, Public Libraries

So nowadays we are comfortable with two facts:

    1. Books can be digital. It is good for distribution, near zero marginal cost of production, no burden on environment, reducing the barrier of knowledge.
    2. There are public libraries that provide free borrowing for resources including books (physical).

Then here comes the question – why libraries don’t provide free digital version of books.

The Answer could be very simple.

No one will buy books then…..

Then there is another question – since public libraries are funded by governments (tax payers) and donors, why are books not subsidized by governments like healthcare or education.

Why don’t governments make a list of knowledge-based books nearly free?

Authors should receive a stream of cash flows from taxpayers, for the contribution of their books.

 

Coffee Chains in China

In a previous post about Starbucks, we talked about its potential in China.

China’s coffee consumption will explode, even considering major cities alone. Younger generations will consume more coffee and they will represent an increasing proportion of the overall urban population.

China coffee consumption potential | Source: Starbucks 6/19 Presentation

Everyone sees the market and opportunities – one of the most eye-catching player is Luckin Coffee (瑞幸咖啡), who just filed to be listed on Nasdaq.

Image result for Luckin Coffee
Source: TechCrunch

The expansion in terms of coverage & number of stores is very impressive: 9 stores by the end of 2017 and 2,370 stores by the end of 2019Q1, although most (91.3 %) of them are pick-up stores (see above).

By comparison, in May 2018, Starbucks announced that it is planning to build nearly 3,000 new stores in mainland China over the next few years (from 3,300 in 2018Q1 to 6,000 before the end of 2022).

Things to notice:

    • Luckin Coffee outsourced delivery services mainly to S.F. Express (顺丰控股SHE: 002352)
    • Luckin’s investors are mainly related to UCAR INC. (神州优车 NEEQ:838006)
    • Didn’t see GIC or BlackRock or Legend Capital as major shareholders (>5%)
    • Loss is significant: ¥527 million operation loss on ¥361 million revenue in 2019Q1 (-110.1%)
    • No significant revenue growth from 2018Q4 to 2019Q1: 465,433k to 478,510k (+2.8%)
    • There was a decrease in advertising cost: 127,372 in 2018Q4 -> 93,080 in 2018Q4 -> 40,143 in 2019Q1