Breakdown – npr.org
Major items: $350 billion in loans to small businesses, $500 billion for loans, loan guarantees or other aid to corporates, unemployment insurance, direct payments, etc.
An introductory video for one of the fundamental pillars of the financial market’s liquidity – repo market. The video also explains the Sep 16, 2019 repo rate spike.
Park Hotels & Resorts (PK)
Starwood Property Trust (STWD)
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI)
TPG Real Estate Finance Trust (TRTX)
KKR Real Estate Finance Trust (KREF)
The worst week for Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 since 2008 financial crisis (Oct 2008).
Fed cut rates to near-zero the weekend before, lowering federal-funds rate to a range between 0% and 0.25%.
Dots to connect: QE, easing from central banks around the world, inflation on the way, bond issuing in low-interest-rate environment, another round of asset bubble(?) when recover, etc.
Following the underlying trend of growing Fintech companies grabbing more customers & market shares (also discussed in a previous post about job cuts in banks), traditional financial service providers such as brokerage firms are thinking about their future.
And one answer is to consolidate the industry with mega M&As.
In November 2019, Charles Schwab agreed to buy smaller rival TD Ameritrade in a stock-swap transaction valued at about $26 billion. Schwab will issue 1.0837 shares for each TD Ameritrade share.
The deal will create a company with more than $5 trillion in assets under management. TD Ameritrade will contribute approximately 12 million client accounts, $1.3 trillion in client assets.
The press release also says, “on expenses, current estimates are for approximately $1.8 to $2 billion run-rate expense synergies, which represents approximately 18-20% of the combined cost base” – a $2 billion cut in headcount and operating budget.
TD Ameritrade had a LTM revenue of $5.665B as of 2019Q3, thus receiving a roughly 4.6x revenue multiple. Or taking the revenue declines into account, it represents a 5.0x NTM revenue ($5.2 billion) multiple. Also, it’s around $2,167 per client account.
On Feb 20, 2020, Morgan Stanley said it agreed to buy discount brokerage pioneer E*Trade for $13 billion. Also an all stock deal, E*Trade stockholders will receive 1.0432 Morgan Stanley shares for each E*Trade share, which represents per share consideration of $58.74.
Combined platforms will have $3.1tn client assets, 8.2 million retail client relationships and accounts, and 4.6 million stock plan participants. E*TRADE has over 5.2 million client accounts with over $360 billion of retail client assets.
Similarly, the acquisition price represents a 4.5x LTM revenue multiple. Also, it’s $2,500 per retail client account.
Following up on a previous post of M&As in the cybersecurity space – interests and activities are still strong.
Another private equity firm Symphony Technology Group (STG) just announced the acquisition of RSA from Dell for $2.075 billion in cash. STG partnered with Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan Board and AlpInvest Partners in the deal.
Dell acquired RSA when it bought EMC in 2015. RSA has over 12,500 customers according to the statement.
Earlier this month, Forescout was to be acquired by Apax and its partner Crosspoint Capital for $33 per share in an all-cash transaction valued at $1.9 billion.
The purchase price represents a premium of approximately 30% over Forescout’s closing share price of $25.45 on October 18, 2019, the last full trading day prior to the release of the 13-D filings by Corvex Management L.P. and Jericho Capital Asset Management L.P. on October 21, 2019, which disclosed they had formed a partnership to approach Forescout and accumulated a combined 14.5% ownership in the company.
Forescout recorded fourth quarter revenue of $91.3 million, compared to $84.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2018 (+8% growth); full year revenue of $336.8 million, compared to $297.7 million in the full year 2019 (+13% growth).
In January, Israeli IoT security firm Armis Security announced that it agreed to be acquired by NY-based Insight Partners at a valuation of $1.1 billion.
Insight will pay cash for the cybersecurity company, with participation from CapitalG for $100 million and rollover from some existing stockholders.
HSBC recently surprised the outsiders with a 35,000 job cut plan in three years.
The largest bank by asset in Europe, London-based HSBC does most of its business in Asia.
Financial Times reported last year in October that HSBC has embarked on a cost-cutting drive that threatens up to 10,000 jobs, as its new interim chief executive Noel Quinn seeks to make his mark on the bank.
It will now cut the headcount from 235,000 to about 200,000 in 2022.
It is also not a surprise as fintech companies are becoming more compelling and providing more superior services efficiently.
The long-term trend is inevitable. For example, in retail banking, every major bank is shutting down branches. The previous “comparative advantage” of having more footprint in the last century has become a liability. The bigger they were, the more pain they were feeling.
In a Jan 2017 report, The Guardian said HSBC “will be left with 625 branches by the end of the year [2017], which means it will have more than halved its high street presence since June 2011 when it had 1,301 branches.”
And in today’s report, HSBC US said the bank will close about 80 branches this year in the U.S. alone, a reduction of about 30%.
Other retail banking services such as trading and wealth management are also shifting online + automation. Younger generations just don’t need much face-to-face financial services and digital infrastructure has become more potent than ever. The industry’s reduction in cost structure leads to lowering fees and squeezes every player who couldn’t adapt (fast).
Many Institution services are also digitalized/automated.
Not surprisingly, many parts of the investment banking world such as trading are cutting headcount as well.
Last August, Financial Times reported that
Almost 30,000 lay-offs have been announced since April at banks including HSBC, Barclays, Société Générale, Citigroup and Deutsche Bank. Most of the cuts have come in Europe, with Deutsche accounting for more than half the total, while trading desks have been hit hardest.
Read the original report here.
Company | Country | Total Equity Funding ($M) |
---|---|---|
OneWeb | United Kingdom | 3469 |
Klarna | Sweden | 1122 |
N26 | Germany | 683 |
Glovo | Spain | 513 |
BlaBlaCar | France | 449 |
OutSystems | Portugal | 422 |
Picnic | Netherlands | 329 |
Vinted | Lithuania | 260 |
RELEX Solutions | Finland | 222 |
AMCS Group | Ireland | 202 |
Trustpilot | Denmark | 179 |
Acronis | Switzerland | 178 |
Bolt | Estonia | 177 |
Tricentis | Austria | 174 |
DocPlanner Group | Poland | 137 |
Odoo | Belgium | 104 |
Job Today | Luxembourg | 81 |
ivi | Russian Federation | 81 |
Kolonial.no | Norway | 61 |
AImotive | Hungary | 51 |
Satispay | Italy | 50 |
Mews Systems | Czech Republic | 42 |
PDFfiler | Ukraine | 30 |
Lidyana | Turkey | 25.17 |
Capital.com | Cyprus | 25 |
Netdata | Greece | 21 |
Software Group | Bulgaria | 17 |
FintechOS | Romania | 16 |
Gambling.com Group | Malta | 16 |
Banuba | Belarus | 12 |
Minit | Slovakia | 11 |
TripCreator | Iceland | 10 |
Gjirafa | Albania | 8.7 |
Mintos | Latvia | 7.8 |
Gideon Brothers | Croatia | 5.7 |
Eligma | Slovenia | 4.4 |
Content Insights | Serbia | 3.6 |
Financial Times – Tesla shares surge again despite Saudi Arabian exit
Reuters – China sets out move to liberalize IPO rules to streamline listings
Caixin – China Approves New Securities Law with Registration-Based IPO System
The amended legislation, due to take effect from March 1, removes complex and time-consuming watchdog scrutiny before listings and is designed to expand registration-based IPOs.
Th requirement for a company to qualify for a new listing is lowered to being “capable of sustainable business operations,” from the previous more stringent “capable of sustained profitability.”
The revised law adds a new chapter on information disclosure.
it also contains provision for heavier punishment on stocks violations and pledges better protection for investors in general.
Dots to connect: fees for investment banks, stock performance for financial services companies, increasing power of exchanges, dropping value of “shell companies”, growing value of indexes, etc..