Category: personal_noteS

The Pentagon has ordered about 2,000 soldiers from the Army’s 82nd Airborne Division to begin moving to the Middle East to give President Trump additional military options even as he weighs a new diplomatic initiative with Iran

– The New York Times

I was wondering what are chances that troops are assembled but won’t be put in use.

Paratroopers are meant to be deployed for ground operations. It’s not just bombing around.

I ask ChatGPT to summarize precedents that troops were assembled but didn’t act.

2013 Syria. The U.S. moved forces into position for possible strikes after Assad’s chemical-weapons attack, and Obama said he had decided to take military action, but then paused for congressional authorization and the strike never happened. That is probably the clearest modern example of “assembled and ready, but ultimately did not act.”

2023 Eastern Mediterranean after Oct. 7. The U.S. surged the USS Gerald R. Ford carrier strike group to the eastern Mediterranean explicitly “to deter” escalation. That force was assembled in-theater as a warning and stabilizer, not for an immediate attack. Reuters later described its role as helping prevent a broader regional conflict.

1994 Kuwait / Iraq (Operation Vigilant Warrior). The U.S. rapidly deployed substantial forces after Iraqi units moved toward Kuwait. President Clinton later said the speed of the deployment helped Iraq “get the message,” after which Iraqi forces withdrew and U.S. combat troops began going home without a war.

1988 Honduras (Operation Golden Pheasant) also fits the pattern: U.S. troops were rushed in after a cross-border crisis with Nicaragua, but the deployment functioned mainly as deterrence and the situation de-escalated before major combat.

And cases when that US already went into war/conflict, but only air strike etc.; then troops for ground operations were assembled but didn’t use.

Kosovo, 1999. The U.S. and NATO were already in an active air war against Yugoslavia in Operation Allied Force. After the bombing campaign started, the U.S. deployed Task Force Hawk to Albania — an Apache-heavy Army force built for possible attacks on Serbian ground forces in Kosovo. But despite being assembled in theater for that purpose, the Apaches never flew a combat mission and the task force never fired a shot in combat before the war ended. That is probably the closest precedent to “already fighting from the air, ground-capable forces assembled, but not used.”

A second, somewhat broader example is Desert Storm, 1991. The coalition had already begun the air campaign against Iraq on January 17, 1991. Meanwhile, a very large U.S. Marine amphibious force was assembled offshore in the Gulf; official Marine Corps history says the 4th and 5th MEBs plus the 13th MEU formed the largest Marine combat landing force since the Cuban Missile Crisis. But the expected amphibious landing into Kuwait never happened. Instead, the force was used mainly as a threat/deception tool to pin Iraqi forces while the actual main ground offensive came from elsewhere.