Who is the first the blink?
Looks like Meta?
Sure Meta can / will need to sell more compute, which then supports more capex.
But that is an entirely new business for Meta.
Samsun Electronics has two ticker in South Korea: 005930 (common stocks), and 005935 (preferred shares).
The main difference is voting rights – 005935 has no voting rights.
| Common | Preferred | |
|---|---|---|
| Korea ticker | 005930 | 005935 |
| Voting rights | One vote per share | No voting rights |
| Business exposure | Samsung Electronics | Same Samsung Electronics |
| Dividend | Standard dividend | Almost identical dividend—only ₩1 more annually |
| Liquidity | Higher | Lower |
| Typical valuation | Trades at a premium | Trades at a discount |
The discount is large. Recently it’s larger at over 25% or 30%+.
The main reason is probably ETF buying.
Passive funds, index futures hedging and most Samsung-focused ETFs direct their purchases into 005930, not 005935.
And for some strategic investors, voting rights is meaningful.
However, this is still a large discount – Google Class C vs Class A common shares discount is within 0.5%.
ETFs buy both Google A and C.
Changxin Technology Group got listed on Monday.
It’s such a big event – it becomes mainland China’s most valuable listed company.
Here is a list of 合肥市委书记 (Hefei Party secretaries) in those years.
Taking 2016, when CXMT was established in Hefei, as the starting point, five Hefei Party secretaries are relevant to the company’s development:
| Hefei Party Secretary | Term | CXMT Development Stage | Subsequent Career and Current Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wu Cunrong (吴存荣) | Sep. 2011–Nov. 2016 | Project incubation and establishment | Later served as Executive Vice Governor of Anhui, Executive Vice Mayor and Deputy Party Secretary of Chongqing, Vice Chairman of the Chongqing People’s Congress, and Chairman of the Shanxi CPPCC. Investigated in December 2024 and sentenced at first instance in March 2026 to life imprisonment for accepting more than RMB 127 million in bribes. |
| Song Guoquan (宋国权) | Nov. 2016–May 2020 | Fab construction, technology introduction, and initial mass production | Later became Vice Chairman of the Anhui Provincial People’s Congress. Retired after the 2023 leadership transition and now mainly serves as President of the Anhui Intangible Cultural Heritage Research Association. He continues to appear at public events. |
| Yu Aihua (虞爱华) | May 2020–Mar. 2024 | Capacity expansion and development of the surrounding semiconductor ecosystem | Subsequently promoted to Deputy Party Secretary of Anhui and Secretary of the provincial Political and Legal Affairs Commission. In 2025, he moved to the Anhui CPPCC as Deputy Party Secretary and Vice Chairman. He continues to perform public duties. |
| Zhang Hongwen (张红文) | Mar. 2024–Mar. 2025 | Mature expansion and IPO preparation | Disappeared from public view after December 2024, left his positions without receiving a new appointment, and was later removed as an Anhui Provincial People’s Congress delegate. His status is highly unusual, although no formal disciplinary investigation has been publicly announced. |
| Fei Gaoyun (费高云) | Apr. 2025–May 2026 | Final IPO preparation stage | Placed under disciplinary and supervisory investigation on May 6, 2026. As of the latest public information, no subsequent announcement of expulsion from the Party, prosecution, or sentencing had been made. |
CXMT and the first phase of its Hefei DRAM manufacturing project were established in 2016. Wu Cunrong (吴存荣) remained Hefei Party secretary until November of that year, meaning the project’s initial planning, government investment framework, and decision to locate in Hefei were likely developed during the final period of his tenure.
However, the construction of the fabs and the transition into commercial production mainly occurred under his successor, Song Guoquan (宋国权).
After leaving Hefei, Wu Cunrong (吴存荣) continued to rise through the political system and eventually became Chairman of the Shanxi CPPCC. A court later found that he had accepted more than RMB 127 million in bribes between 2006 and 2024 while holding various government positions, including those of Hefei mayor and Hefei Party secretary.
Public court documents have not specifically linked his bribery case to CXMT. It would therefore be inappropriate to claim that his criminal case involved the CXMT project.
Assessment: Wu Cunrong (吴存荣) was the Party secretary during CXMT’s project-establishment phase, but not the principal official responsible for its construction and commercialization.
Song Guoquan’s (宋国权) tenure covered CXMT’s most difficult transition: moving from plans and capital commitments to a functioning fab and commercially viable DRAM production.
Key milestones during his tenure included:
Among the five officials, Song Guoquan (宋国权) therefore had the most direct association with CXMT’s successful execution. During his tenure, the company had already committed substantial capital but had not yet proven its technology or manufacturing capability. The core task was to complete the facility, establish a production process, achieve acceptable yields, and begin commercial shipments.
After leaving the Hefei Party secretary position, Song Guoquan (宋国权) became Vice Chairman of the Anhui Provincial People’s Congress. He subsequently retired from full-time government office and has remained publicly active through cultural and intangible-heritage organizations. There have been no public reports of investigations or disciplinary action against him.
Assessment: Song Guoquan (宋国权) was CXMT’s “construction and mass-production Party secretary.” His tenure was the most important for turning the company from a government-backed project into an operating DRAM manufacturer.
Yu Aihua (虞爱华) took office in May 2020, after CXMT had already achieved initial DDR4 mass production. The company’s strategic focus had therefore shifted from proving the viability of one fab to expanding capacity, upgrading technology, and developing a broader local semiconductor supply chain.
During his tenure:
Yu Aihua (虞爱华) frequently described Hefei’s model as “industrial investment” rather than ordinary venture capital. Under this approach, the local government combined equity investment, land, infrastructure, financing, supply-chain development, and customer-market support to build strategic industries.
In 2024, Yu Aihua (虞爱华) was promoted to Deputy Party Secretary of Anhui and also served as Secretary of the provincial Political and Legal Affairs Commission. In 2025, he moved to the Anhui CPPCC as Deputy Party Secretary and Vice Chairman.
This represented a clear reduction in executive authority and effectively ended his upward political trajectory. However, he has continued to participate in public meetings and official activities, and there has been no public indication that he is under investigation.
Assessment: Yu Aihua (虞爱华) was CXMT’s “capacity-expansion and industrial-ecosystem Party secretary.” He helped develop CXMT from a standalone manufacturing project into the center of a larger Hefei semiconductor cluster.
Zhang Hongwen (张红文) became Hefei Party secretary in March 2024 and remained in the position for roughly one year.
By this point, CXMT was already an established DRAM producer. Zhang Hongwen’s (张红文) tenure therefore corresponded more closely to advanced-product expansion, corporate restructuring, financing, and preparation for a potential public listing than to the company’s original establishment or manufacturing ramp.
His departure was highly unusual:
This combination of events commonly suggests serious internal disciplinary action, organizational investigation, or another form of political handling. However, no formal announcement by the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection has publicly confirmed that Zhang Hongwen (张红文) is under investigation.
There is also no authoritative public evidence linking his disappearance or removal to CXMT.
Assessment: Zhang Hongwen (张红文) was CXMT’s “mature expansion and capital-markets preparation Party secretary.” He appears likely to have encountered serious political trouble, but the specific cause remains undisclosed.
Fei Gaoyun (费高云) became Hefei Party secretary in April 2025 and served for approximately one year.
His tenure covered the final stages of CXMT’s listing preparation and continued capacity expansion. On May 6, 2026, the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection announced that Fei Gaoyun (费高云) was under investigation for suspected serious violations of discipline and law.
CXMT subsequently completed its public listing in July 2026, meaning Fei Gaoyun (费高云) was investigated before the company formally entered the public market.
As of the latest information included in the original summary, there had been no public announcement that Fei Gaoyun (费高云) had been expelled from the Party, transferred for prosecution, or sentenced. The investigation remained ongoing.
There is no authoritative evidence that his case is connected to CXMT.
Assessment: Fei Gaoyun (费高云) was CXMT’s “IPO preparation Party secretary.” His long-term contribution to the company is difficult to evaluate because his tenure was brief and ended with a formal investigation.
The political outcomes of the five Hefei Party secretaries associated with CXMT’s development have varied substantially:
In terms of their direct importance to CXMT’s development, a reasonable ranking would be:
Song Guoquan (宋国权) > Yu Aihua (虞爱华) > Wu Cunrong (吴存荣) > Zhang Hongwen (张红文) ≈ Fei Gaoyun (费高云)
Song Guoquan (宋国权) ranks first because his tenure covered construction, technology validation, and the beginning of commercial production. Yu Aihua (虞爱华) ranks second because his tenure covered large-scale expansion and the development of Hefei’s broader semiconductor ecosystem. Wu Cunrong (吴存荣) was relevant to the project’s initial formation, while Zhang Hongwen (张红文) and Fei Gaoyun (费高云) served during later, relatively short periods.
It is important not to infer that CXMT itself was involved in corruption merely because several former Hefei Party secretaries later encountered political or legal problems. Public information concerning Wu Cunrong (吴存荣), Zhang Hongwen (张红文), and Fei Gaoyun (费高云) has not established a direct connection between their cases and CXMT.
CXMT’s development was the result of several factors working together over multiple political administrations: local-government industrial investment, national semiconductor policy, the work of the company’s management and engineering teams, and sustained access to capital and manufacturing resources.
Here is the list of relevant Hefei mayor
| Hefei mayor | Term | CXMT stage | Subsequent career and current status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Qingjun (张庆军) | Jan. 2012–Aug. 2016 | Project incubation and initial approval | Investigated in July 2016 and expelled from the Party and public office in December 2016. I found no authoritative public announcement of a subsequent prosecution or sentence. |
| Ling Yun (凌云) | Aug. 2016–Apr. 2021 | Fab construction, technology validation and first commercial production | Became Huangshan Party secretary in 2021. Since January 2025, she has served as director of the Anhui CPPCC Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan, Overseas Chinese and Foreign Affairs Committee. |
| Luo Yunfeng (罗云峰) | Apr. 2021–Jan. 2026 | Capacity expansion, product upgrading and IPO preparation | Resigned as mayor in January 2026 and became Party-group secretary of the Anhui CPPCC Economic Committee. This appears to be a normal retirement-transition appointment. |
| Zhang Quan (张泉) | Jan. 2026–present | IPO completion and post-listing expansion | Current Hefei mayor. He had already served as Hefei executive vice mayor from 2023, so his involvement with CXMT began before becoming mayor. |
Summartized and written by ChatGPT.
| Transaction date | Assets | Buyer / capital partner | Seller / contributor | Stake acquired | Transaction value | Capacity | Implied price per GW |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun. 29, 2026 | Three Northern Virginia hyperscale facilities: two in Manassas and one in Sterling | Digital Realty | Blackstone-affiliated funds | Blended 64%: 80% of two sites and 50% of one | US$3.5bn equity consideration; US$7.8bn 100% gross asset value, including assumed debt and remaining capex | 0.288GW | US$27.1bn/GW on gross asset value |
| Jul. 28, 2026 | Meta El Paso campus, Texas | BlackRock/GIP/HPS funds | Meta contributes land and construction in progress | BlackRock 80%; Meta retains 20% | US$14bn total fitted-infrastructure development cost; Meta contributed US$2.3bn of assets and BlackRock contributed US$4.9bn cash at closing | 1.0GW | US$14.0bn/GW |
| Oct. 21, 2025 | Meta Hyperion initial campus development, Louisiana | Blue Owl-managed funds | Meta contributes land and construction in progress | Blue Owl 80%; Meta retains 20% | US$27bn total development cost; Blue Owl initially contributed about US$7bn cash and Meta received a US$3bn distribution | ~2.0GW initial phase | ~US$13.5bn/GW |
| Oct. 1, 2024 | New Equinix xScale campuses across the U.S. | GIC and CPP Investments | New-build JV with Equinix; no conventional seller | GIC 37.5%; CPP 37.5%; Equinix 25% | More than US$15bn of total investable capital, including future debt | More than 1.5GW | ~US$10bn/GW, based on headline figures |
| Apr. 15, 2024 | Equinix SV12x, San Jose, California | PGIM Real Estate | Equinix contributes/develops project | PGIM 80%; Equinix retains 20% | US$600m JV/project capitalization | >0.028GW | <US$21.4bn/GW |
| Oct. 15, 2025 | Aligned Data Centers platform across North and South America | AIP, MGX and BlackRock’s GIP | Macquarie-managed funds and co-investors | 100% equity | US$40bn enterprise value | ~5GW operational and planned | ~US$8.0bn/GW |
Is that in order to market security, the insecure factors may advance.
The higher the risk, the higher the value of security.
Will those selling security make friends with those who making threats?
A widely cited study covering World Cups from 1950–2006 found that the U.S. market lost an average 2.58% during the tournament’s defined “effect period,” versus an average gain of 1.21% over comparable-length periods outside World Cups.
The 2022 Crash: During the 2022 Qatar World Cup, the global stock market fell by 4.6% and the S&P 500 dropped by 5.4%.
Why might it happen?
1. Losses hurt more than victories help.
Fans become significantly more pessimistic after elimination, but investors do not become equivalently optimistic after an ordinary victory. During the knockout stage, every match creates one disappointed country, so the negative mood effects may accumulate globally.
2. Investors are distracted.
When a national team is playing, investors watch football instead of markets. Research covering 15 countries during the 2010 and 2014 World Cups found that trading volume could fall by as much as 48% during national-team matches. Domestic markets also temporarily reacted less to global-market news.
The current 2026 World Cup looks fine so far, although Nasdaq is weak in recent days.
The weakness started when US restarted strike on Iran over the Jul 11-12 weekend, after US team’s exit on Jul 6 (defeated by Belgium).
| Index | June 10 | July 17 | World Cup return |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 7,266.99 | 7,457.69 | +2.62% |
| Dow Jones | 49,918.78 | 52,146.42 | +4.46% |
| Nasdaq Composite | 25,169.50 | 25,520.24 | +1.39% |
| Russell 2000 | 2,835.46 | 2,962.22 | +4.47% |
This Weibo guy, called Feng Ge (Brother Feng), said on July 8 that he can’t withstand the loss and cut positions (in tech mainly).
The next day July 9 stock market came back strong.
On the very strong July 9, he said he bought back (fully invested).
Then on Jul 10 stock market was in a bloodbath.
After Jul 10 close, he said he wouldn’t quit this time – tech is the future and will rise again.
On July 15, he commented that innovative drugs is interesting, which marked the end of a few weeks rally of HK biotech/healthcare stock.
On Jul 16, he commented that “tech has bottomed” / “correction is done”, which is actually the peak of the day.
China’s retail investors have found their Jim Cramer.
Interesting that retail investors care much more about sunken cost than opportunity cost.
For one thing, sunken cost can be easily measured – how much you bought and how much is the unrealized p/l.
Opportunity cost is harder to measure, as you need to constantly have a view on various things.
Perhaps money market fund rate is the most obvious opportunity cost rather than S&P 500, although I believe the latter is more important.
However easiness to measure shouldn’t matter.
As I think sunken cost can be ignored while opportunity cost should be the only thing that matters.
Except that you think you are playing poker with multi round game theory – easy to fold makes you more likely to be bluffed in future.
For 1q26, SK Hynix posted ₩51.6 trillion won profit before tax.
Among that ₩51.6tn, ₩37.6tn is operating profit and ₩9.88tn is investment valuation gain, mostly related to Kioxia.
SK hynix owns convertible bonds that can be converted into substantially all the voting rights of BCPE Pangea Cayman2, and that vehicle holds the 77.4 million Kioxia shares, which is about 14% of Kioxia.
Kioxia’s closing share price was ¥19,080 on March 31, 2026 and Kioxia closed at ¥89,680 on June 30.
77.4m×(¥89,680-¥19,080)×₩9.5194=₩52tn
52 trillion won of Kioxia investment paper gain in a quarter.
The Kioxia investment gain alone is more than 1q26 operating profit of ₩37.6tn.
While Bain Capital needs to sell as a PE fund, SK Hynix can hold much longer.